#WatchingTheVote Preliminary Process Statement on the 2018 Ekiti Gubernatorial Election

Protocols

Introduction

Ladies and Gentlemen, it gives us great pleasure to welcome you to the YIAGA AFRICA Watching The Vote (WTV) Evening Statement on the Process of the 2018 governorship election in Ekiti. This press briefing is the third in a series of press conferences to be hosted by YIAGA AFRICA WTV during the 2018 Ekiti governorship election. Although YIAGA AFRICA has received data from 245 of 250 sampled polling units and currently has a stable estimated range for the election outcome, it is the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) with the mandate to announce results. YIAGA AFRICA will follow up with a fourth press briefing IMMEDIATELY after INEC announces the official results of the Ekiti gubernatorial election to issue its verification statement on whether the official results reflect the ballots cast at polling units.

The WTV project is “Driven by Data – For All Nigerians – Beholden to None!” WTV employed the parallel vote tabulation (PVT) methodology on Election Day – the gold standard for citizen observation. WTV deployed 500 stationary observers in pairs to a representative statistical sample of 250 polling units and 25 mobile observers located in all 16 local government areas (LGAs) of Ekiti state. WTV also deployed 16 collation centre observers to each of the LGA Collation Centres. This deployment strategy enabled YIAGA AFRICA to provide timely and accurate information on the conduct of accreditation, voting, and counting as well as to independently verify the official results for the Ekiti gubernatorial election as announced by INEC. The preliminary report on the conduct of accreditation, voting, and counting is based on reports from 245 of 250 (98%) sampled polling units. YIAGA AFRICA continues to receive reports from its observers on ground and will include this data in its final report.

YIAGA AFRICA undertook #WatchingTheVote to provide the public, governorship candidates, political parties, and INEC with independent information about whether the official results for the Ekiti gubernatorial election truly reflect the ballots cast at polling units. If the announced results reflect the ballots cast at polling units then we will confirm the outcome. If the announced results have been manipulated and do not match the results posted at polling units then YIAGA AFRICA will expose it.

Preliminary Election Day Findings

YIAGA AFRICA’s #WatchingTheVote observers witnessed accreditation, voting, and counting at polling units in all 16 LGAs. Set-up findings were provided in a press release earlier in the day. As of this time, YIAGA AFRICA’s preliminary findings are based on reports from 245 of 250 sampled polling units.

Accreditation and Voting

  • At 88% of polling units the card reader functioned throughout the day.
  • At 98% of polling units every potential voter’s permanent voter card (PVC) was checked by the card reader. At 92% of polling units every potential voter’s PVC was checked against the register of voters. At 100% of polling units no one was accredited to vote who did not have a PVC.
  • At 94% of polling units every potential voter’s fingerprints were checked by the card reader.
  • 84% of polling units were set up so no one could see how the voters marked their ballot papers. However, at 16% of polling units it was possible to see how a voter’s ballot paper was marked when it was put in the ballot box.
  • At 100% of polling units indelible ink was applied to the cuticle of a finger of every accredited voter.
  • During accreditation and voting, at 6% of polling units voters crowded the polling officials and at 9% of polling stations there were incidents of intimidation, harassment or violence.
  • 27% of polling units completed accreditation and voting by the designated time of 2:00pm while by 3:00pm 83% of polling units had completed accreditation and voting.
  • At 1% of polling units ballots/ballot boxes were snatched of stuffed during accreditation and voting.
  • At 26% of polling units voters in the queue were not allowed to vote when accreditation and voting ended at 2:00pm.

Counting

  • At 98% of polling units polling officials showed how every ballot paper was marked to everyone present.
  • At 14% of polling units an ADP polling agent signed the official results form (EC.8A).
  • At 98% of polling units an APC polling agent signed the official results form (EC.8A).
  • At 97% of polling units a PDP polling agent signed the official results form (EC.8A).
  • At 17% of polling units polling official recounted the ballot papers.
  • At 94% of polling units the official results were posted for the public to see.
  • At 78% of polling units, presiding officers used the Smart Card Reader to transmit results from the polling units.
  • In 72% of polling units, presiding officers reported that the transmission was successful.

Turnout

YIAGA AFRICA’s preliminary estimates indicate that turnout for the Ekiti gubernatorial election will be between 42% and 48% based on official turnout figures collected from the PVT’s representative statistical sample of polling units across the 16 LGAs in the state. If INEC’s official turnout falls within WTV’s estimated range then it accurately reflects the ballots cast at polling units.

Results

Although YIAGA AFRICA currently has a stable estimated range for the election outcome, it is the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) with the mandate to announce results. However, based on currently received observer reports, YIAGA AFRICA’s PVT shows that no candidate will receive more than 56% of the vote share.

Conclusion

Ladies and gentlemen of the press, it is important to remember that the Ekiti gubernatorial election is not yet over and that this report reflects YIAGA AFRICA’s preliminary findings on the conduct of accreditation, voting, and counting. INEC is still in the process of tallying results and has not yet announced the outcome of the election. YIAGA AFRICA will continue to observe the entire process and will issue additional statements as appropriate. YIAGA AFRICA calls on all contesting political parties and candidates to allow INEC to finish its work without interference and to urge their supporters to remain calm. Further, YIAGA AFRICA calls on the people of Ekiti to be peaceful and reject any calls for violence as INEC tallies the result for the gubernatorial election. YIAGA AFRICA will also issue a comprehensive report after the election has concluded that contains our final findings and recommendations.

YIAGA AFRICA would like to thank the many Nigerians across the state who volunteered to serve as non-partisan election observers on behalf of all the people of Ekiti. YIAGA AFRICA commends the dedication of the permanent INEC staff in Abuja and Ekiti state who organized the election; the commitment of the National Youth Service Corps (NYSC) members who served as poll officials, and the professionalism of the security agents who worked to keep the peace on Election Day. YIAGA AFRICA also appreciates the collaboration of our development partners and their commitment to Nigerian initiatives to ensure credible elections in our country.

YIAGA AFRICA, through the #WatchingTheVote initiative, is committed promoting more credible elections by providing independent information on the conduct of elections and independently verifying the accuracy of election results. #WatchingTheVote is For All Nigerians, Beholden to No One, and Driven By Data.

Long live Ekiti state, long live Nigeria. Thank you.

— End —

Hussaini Abdu PhD                                              Samson Itodo
Chair,                                                                       Executive Director
YIAGA AFRICA WTV Working Group                    YIAGA AFRICA

 

For media inquiries please contact:
Moshood Isah: Tel. +234 (0) 703 666 9339
Email: [email protected] AFRICA.org

Learn more about #WatchingTheVote at www.watchingthevote.org or on social media on Facebook at facebook.com/YIAGA AFRICA.org or on Twitter @YIAGA AFRICA.

 

APPENDIX 1

Distribution of All Polling Units and PVT Sampled Polling Units for

2018 Ekiti Gubernatorial Election

S/N LGA Registered Voters Polling
Units
Percent of Total Polling
Units
Sampled Polling
Units
Percent of Total Sampled Polling Units Observers
1 ADO EKITI  168,534 207 9.4% 24 9.6% 48
2 EFON  27,282 119 5.4% 13 5.2% 26
3 EKITI EAST  56,682 95 4.3% 11 4.4% 22
4 EKITI SOUTH WEST  50,652 188 8.6% 22 8.8% 44
5 EKITI WEST  54,257 184 8.4% 21 8.4% 42
6 EMURE  34,130 93 4.2% 10 4.0% 20
7 GBONYIN  49,953 103 4.7% 12 4.8% 24
8 IDO / OSI  53,077 139 6.3% 16 6.4% 32
9 IJERO  59,300 138 6.3% 16 6.4% 32
10 IKERE  61,867 86 3.9% 10 4.0% 20
11 IKOLE  63,614 182 8.3% 21 8.4% 42
12 ILEJEMEJE  15,944 91 4.1% 10 4.0% 20
13 IREPODUN / IFELODU  66,513 160 7.3% 18 7.2% 36
14 ISE / ORUN  42,474 108 4.9% 12 4.8% 24
15 MOBA  48,628 112 5.1% 13 5.2% 26
16 OYE  60,427 190 8.7% 21 8.4% 42
  TOTAL  913,334 2,195 100.0% 250 100.0% 500

 

#WatchingTheVote Preliminary Process Statement on the 2018 Ekiti Gubernatorial Election

Protocols

Introduction

Ladies and Gentlemen, it gives us great pleasure to welcome you to the YIAGA AFRICA Watching The Vote (WTV) Evening Statement on the Process of the 2018 governorship election in Ekiti. This press briefing is the third in a series of press conferences to be hosted by YIAGA AFRICA WTV during the 2018 Ekiti governorship election. Although YIAGA AFRICA has received data from 245 of 250 sampled polling units and currently has a stable estimated range for the election outcome, it is the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) with the mandate to announce results. YIAGA AFRICA will follow up with a fourth press briefing IMMEDIATELY after INEC announces the official results of the Ekiti gubernatorial election to issue its verification statement on whether the official results reflect the ballots cast at polling units.

The WTV project is “Driven by Data – For All Nigerians – Beholden to None!” WTV employed the parallel vote tabulation (PVT) methodology on Election Day – the gold standard for citizen observation. WTV deployed 500 stationary observers in pairs to a representative statistical sample of 250 polling units and 25 mobile observers located in all 16 local government areas (LGAs) of Ekiti state. WTV also deployed 16 collation centre observers to each of the LGA Collation Centres. This deployment strategy enabled YIAGA AFRICA to provide timely and accurate information on the conduct of accreditation, voting, and counting as well as to independently verify the official results for the Ekiti gubernatorial election as announced by INEC. The preliminary report on the conduct of accreditation, voting, and counting is based on reports from 245 of 250 (98%) sampled polling units. YIAGA AFRICA continues to receive reports from its observers on ground and will include this data in its final report.

YIAGA AFRICA undertook #WatchingTheVote to provide the public, governorship candidates, political parties, and INEC with independent information about whether the official results for the Ekiti gubernatorial election truly reflect the ballots cast at polling units. If the announced results reflect the ballots cast at polling units then we will confirm the outcome. If the announced results have been manipulated and do not match the results posted at polling units then YIAGA AFRICA will expose it.

Preliminary Election Day Findings

YIAGA AFRICA’s #WatchingTheVote observers witnessed accreditation, voting, and counting at polling units in all 16 LGAs. Set-up findings were provided in a press release earlier in the day. As of this time, YIAGA AFRICA’s preliminary findings are based on reports from 245 of 250 sampled polling units.

Accreditation and Voting

  • At 88% of polling units the card reader functioned throughout the day.
  • At 98% of polling units every potential voter’s permanent voter card (PVC) was checked by the card reader. At 92% of polling units every potential voter’s PVC was checked against the register of voters. At 100% of polling units no one was accredited to vote who did not have a PVC.
  • At 94% of polling units every potential voter’s fingerprints were checked by the card reader.
  • 84% of polling units were set up so no one could see how the voters marked their ballot papers. However, at 16% of polling units it was possible to see how a voter’s ballot paper was marked when it was put in the ballot box.
  • At 100% of polling units indelible ink was applied to the cuticle of a finger of every accredited voter.
  • During accreditation and voting, at 6% of polling units voters crowded the polling officials and at 9% of polling stations there were incidents of intimidation, harassment or violence.
  • 27% of polling units completed accreditation and voting by the designated time of 2:00pm while by 3:00pm 83% of polling units had completed accreditation and voting.
  • At 1% of polling units ballots/ballot boxes were snatched of stuffed during accreditation and voting.
  • At 26% of polling units voters in the queue were not allowed to vote when accreditation and voting ended at 2:00pm.

Counting

  • At 98% of polling units polling officials showed how every ballot paper was marked to everyone present.
  • At 14% of polling units an ADP polling agent signed the official results form (EC.8A).
  • At 98% of polling units an APC polling agent signed the official results form (EC.8A).
  • At 97% of polling units a PDP polling agent signed the official results form (EC.8A).
  • At 17% of polling units polling official recounted the ballot papers.
  • At 94% of polling units the official results were posted for the public to see.
  • At 78% of polling units, presiding officers used the Smart Card Reader to transmit results from the polling units.
  • In 72% of polling units, presiding officers reported that the transmission was successful.

Turnout

YIAGA AFRICA’s preliminary estimates indicate that turnout for the Ekiti gubernatorial election will be between 42% and 48% based on official turnout figures collected from the PVT’s representative statistical sample of polling units across the 16 LGAs in the state. If INEC’s official turnout falls within WTV’s estimated range then it accurately reflects the ballots cast at polling units.

Results

Although YIAGA AFRICA currently has a stable estimated range for the election outcome, it is the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) with the mandate to announce results. However, based on currently received observer reports, YIAGA AFRICA’s PVT shows that no candidate will receive more than 56% of the vote share.

Conclusion

Ladies and gentlemen of the press, it is important to remember that the Ekiti gubernatorial election is not yet over and that this report reflects YIAGA AFRICA’s preliminary findings on the conduct of accreditation, voting, and counting. INEC is still in the process of tallying results and has not yet announced the outcome of the election. YIAGA AFRICA will continue to observe the entire process and will issue additional statements as appropriate. YIAGA AFRICA calls on all contesting political parties and candidates to allow INEC to finish its work without interference and to urge their supporters to remain calm. Further, YIAGA AFRICA calls on the people of Ekiti to be peaceful and reject any calls for violence as INEC tallies the result for the gubernatorial election. YIAGA AFRICA will also issue a comprehensive report after the election has concluded that contains our final findings and recommendations.

YIAGA AFRICA would like to thank the many Nigerians across the state who volunteered to serve as non-partisan election observers on behalf of all the people of Ekiti. YIAGA AFRICA commends the dedication of the permanent INEC staff in Abuja and Ekiti state who organized the election; the commitment of the National Youth Service Corps (NYSC) members who served as poll officials, and the professionalism of the security agents who worked to keep the peace on Election Day. YIAGA AFRICA also appreciates the collaboration of our development partners and their commitment to Nigerian initiatives to ensure credible elections in our country.

YIAGA AFRICA, through the #WatchingTheVote initiative, is committed promoting more credible elections by providing independent information on the conduct of elections and independently verifying the accuracy of election results. #WatchingTheVote is For All Nigerians, Beholden to No One, and Driven By Data.

Long live Ekiti state, long live Nigeria. Thank you.

— End —

Hussaini Abdu PhD                                              Samson Itodo
Chair,                                                                       Executive Director
YIAGA AFRICA WTV Working Group                    YIAGA AFRICA

 

For media inquiries please contact:
Moshood Isah: Tel. +234 (0) 703 666 9339
Email: [email protected] AFRICA.org

Learn more about #WatchingTheVote at www.watchingthevote.org or on social media on Facebook at facebook.com/YIAGA AFRICA.org or on Twitter @YIAGA AFRICA.

 

APPENDIX 1

Distribution of All Polling Units and PVT Sampled Polling Units for

2018 Ekiti Gubernatorial Election

S/N LGA Registered Voters Polling
Units
Percent of Total Polling
Units
Sampled Polling
Units
Percent of Total Sampled Polling Units Observers
1 ADO EKITI  168,534 207 9.4% 24 9.6% 48
2 EFON  27,282 119 5.4% 13 5.2% 26
3 EKITI EAST  56,682 95 4.3% 11 4.4% 22
4 EKITI SOUTH WEST  50,652 188 8.6% 22 8.8% 44
5 EKITI WEST  54,257 184 8.4% 21 8.4% 42
6 EMURE  34,130 93 4.2% 10 4.0% 20
7 GBONYIN  49,953 103 4.7% 12 4.8% 24
8 IDO / OSI  53,077 139 6.3% 16 6.4% 32
9 IJERO  59,300 138 6.3% 16 6.4% 32
10 IKERE  61,867 86 3.9% 10 4.0% 20
11 IKOLE  63,614 182 8.3% 21 8.4% 42
12 ILEJEMEJE  15,944 91 4.1% 10 4.0% 20
13 IREPODUN / IFELODU  66,513 160 7.3% 18 7.2% 36
14 ISE / ORUN  42,474 108 4.9% 12 4.8% 24
15 MOBA  48,628 112 5.1% 13 5.2% 26
16 OYE  60,427 190 8.7% 21 8.4% 42
  TOTAL  913,334 2,195 100.0% 250 100.0% 500

 

 

#WatchingTheVote Mid-day Situational Statement on the 2018 Ekiti Gubernatorial Election

Introduction

YIAGA AFRICA #WatchingTheVote (WTV) is observing the 2018 governorship election in Ekiti state. YIAGA WTV deployed 500 carefully trained stationary observers and 24 mobile observers in all the 16 local government areas (LGAs) in Ekiti state. YIAGA AFRICA also deployed 16 collation centre observers to each of the LGA collation centres and the state collation centre. YIAGA AFRICA WTV is leveraging on the parallel vote tabulation (PVT) methodology to observe elections. PVT is a tested and advanced methodology that employs well established statistical principles and utilizes sophisticated information technologies for election observation. YIAGA AFRICA’s WTV project provides the most timely and accurate information on the conduct of voting and counting and uses the only observation methodology that can independently verify the official governorship results as announced by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC).

Findings

YIAGA AFRICA’s WTV observation for the Ekiti 2018 gubernatorial elections is fully operational. At this time, YIAGA AFRICA has received reports from 242 of 250 sampled polling units across the 16 LGAs.

These are preliminary findings as of 12:00 pm on election day. The following data will be updated as additional reports are received from WTV observers at sampled polling units.

  1. As of 7:30 am, YIAGA AFRICA WTV observers reported that INEC officials had arrived at 78% of polling units.
  2. By 9:00 am 91% of polling units had commenced accreditation and voting.
  3. In those polling units where INEC officials and materials arrived, 83% of polling units had four polling officials present, 7% had more than four polling officials present and 10% had fewer than four polling officials present. 89% of polling units had at least one female polling official present, 54% of polling units had two or more female polling officials present.
  4. In addition, 99% of polling units had security agents present.
  5. Card readers were observed in 100% of polling units. All essential materials (register of voters, indelible ink-marker pen, polling official stamp, voting cubicle, ink pad, Form EC.8A Statement of Results and Form EC.40H Voter Information) were present in 99% of polling units.
  6. ADP polling or party agents were seen at 15% of polling units, APC at 100% of polling units, and PDP at 100% of polling units.

YIAGA commends INEC on the timely opening of polling units, particularly as compared to the Anambra gubernatorial election where INEC officials were observed in only 28% of polling units by 7:30 am and accreditation and voting had begun by 9:00 am in 39% of polling units.

In view of the foregoing, YIAGA AFRICA WTV makes the following preliminary recommendations:

Preliminary Recommendations

  1. Voters should turn out confident that polling units are open with essential materials present.
  2. INEC should continue to uphold the secrecy of the ballot by ensuring voting cubicles and ballot boxes are situated to guarantee the secrecy of the ballot. Security agents deployed to polling stations should apprehend an individual or group involved in vote buying.
  3. Parties should ensure that their representatives are present to observe the process and counting.
  4. INEC should continue to adhere to the election guidelines as voting continues and throughout the process.
  5. YIAGA AFRICA encourages security agents to conduct themselves professionally and to continue to assure a peaceful process.
  6. We urge public and private media organizations to uphold the core principles of ethical journalism in their reportage of the election.

 

About YIAGA AFRICA and Watching The Vote

YIAGA AFRICA is a non-profit civic hub of changemakers building democratic societies in Africa anchored on the principles of inclusion, justice, rule of law and accountability. YIAGA AFRICA achieves its goal through research, capacity development and policy advocacy. YIAGA AFRICA has been involved in election observation since 2007 and it is one of the leading organizations working on elections in Nigeria.

YIAGA AFRICA Watching The Vote is a citizen-led election observation initiative aimed at enhancing the integrity of elections in Nigeria using technological tools like SMS and evidence-based research methodologies to further election observation. The initiative is designed to promote credible elections and boost citizens’ confidence in the electoral process through citizen’s observation of electoral activities in the electoral cycle. YIAGA AFRICA is enhancing the quality of democracy in Nigeria using the WTV as a platform for promoting cutting-edge electoral policies, credible elections, civic participation and democratic consolidation.

YIAGA AFRICA’s WTV will observe the process until the end. Our observers will remain at polling units until accreditation, voting, and counting are completed and the official results have been announced and posted by the polling officials. YIAGA AFRICA will issue additional updates as appropriate and intends to issue a preliminary statement on the conduct of accreditation, voting, and counting on Saturday, July 14 at the Eleventh House hotel at 7:00 pm.

— End —

Hussaini Abdu, PhD                                                                                     Samson Itodo

Chair                                                                                                               Executive Director

YIAGA AFRICA WTV Working Group                                                            YIAGA AFRICA

For media inquiries please contact:

Moshood Isah

Communication Officer

YIAGA AFRICA

Tel. +234 (0) 703 666 9339

Email: [email protected]

Learn more about #WatchingTheVote at www.watchingthevote.org or on social media on Facebook at facebook.com/yiaga.org or on Twitter @YIAGA.